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PGA Championship 2025: Expert Predictions and Betting Insights on Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler

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2025 PGA Championship Insights

The prestigious 2025 PGA Championship will be held at the Quail Hollow Club in North Carolina, a venue renowned for hosting the annual Wells Fargo Championship, currently known as the Truist Open. As the championship date approaches, insight into past performances at Quail Hollow—particularly those of players like Rory McIlroy—can help inform betting strategies.

Notable Performers at Quail Hollow

Among the list of recent winners at the Truist Open are Max Homa, Wyndham Clark, and Jason Day, but none exhibit the dominance that Rory McIlroy does. He commands the course with four victories, marking him as a key player to watch. Currently, McIlroy stands as one of the top choices for the championship with odds at +500.

Model Predictions

According to a highly regarded model by DFS expert Mike McClure, predictions for the 2025 tournament rely on extensive simulations. The model has demonstrated remarkable accuracy by generating over $9,000 in winnings since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020, including successful predictions for 14 major tournaments.

Key Players: Analysis and Odds

The model forecasts intriguing developments for several top players:

Xander Schauffele

Defending champion Xander Schauffele, a two-time major winner, faces challenges following a rib injury that kept him sidelined for two months in 2025. Currently, he ranks low in key statistics, including:

  • 158th in driving accuracy at 54.17%
  • 162nd in strokes gained: off the tee at -0.439
  • Outside the top 150 in scoring average (71.04)

His odds are set at 19-1 amidst concerns about consistency.

Rory McIlroy

The recent Masters winner and five-time major champion, Rory McIlroy, has gained momentum this season with three victories already. Despite a recent lack of top finishes in the PGA Championship, his strong history at Quail Hollow makes him a major contender.

Scottie Scheffler

Scottie Scheffler, a two-time major winner with title runs at the Masters, aims for his first major victory outside of Augusta. Scheffler recently triumphed at the Byron Nelson, where he tied the record for lowest score in PGA Tour history (253). Despite recovering from surgery delays to his season, he leads with six top-10 finishes and remains consistent.

Longshot Picks

The model also identifies four choice golfers with odds exceeding 20-1 that could surprise the field. These selections, alongside insights about frontrunners like McIlroy and Scheffler, offer potential for aspiring bettors.

2025 PGA Championship Odds

Here are the current betting odds for top contenders:

  • Scottie Scheffler: +450
  • Rory McIlroy: +480
  • Bryson Dechambeau: +1000
  • Ludvig Ã…berg: +1900
  • Xander Schauffele: +1900
  • Jon Rahm: +2000
  • Collin Morikawa: +2100
  • Justin Thomas: +2100

Conclusion

The 2025 PGA Championship presents a captivating lineup of golfers and intriguing betting possibilities. As the championship approaches, staying updated on player performances and statistics will be crucial for making informed decisions.

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